Original Notes
Reconstructed Lecture
The Scenario: Earth's Destruction
Prediction of earth's destruction (news heading)
300 years hence
cause ?: collision ?
bursting ?
moon fall ?
Not likely, but exercise for imagination.
How mankind would take it
thrilled
too remote to be taken seriously
eat drink & be merry
gradual realization
The Scenario: Earth's Destruction

Imagine you opened tomorrow's newspaper to find this headline: EARTH TO BE DESTROYED IN THREE HUNDRED YEARS. The cause might be a collision with another body, an internal explosion, or the Moon falling from its orbit. Not likely, perhaps—but let us use this as an exercise for the imagination.

How would humanity take such news? At first, people would be thrilled—what drama! But the event would seem too remote to take seriously. Most would simply eat, drink, and be merry, pushing the problem to future generations.

Gradually, however, realization would dawn. Three centuries is only ten or twelve generations. Some now living might have grandchildren who would see the end.

The Response: Preserve Humanity
Some would want man to continue
"The great adventure must go on"
man only a million years old
possible future — thousands of millions
might become a much finer being
worm — monkey — man — superman
sacred duty to preserve mankind
find another world
and send a few men & women there
the rest must die
Gradually this view would become commoner
The Response: Preserve Humanity

Some, at least, would insist that humanity must continue. "The great adventure must go on!" they would say. Humanity is only a million years old. Its possible future spans thousands of millions of years—time enough to become something far finer than we are now.

Consider the trajectory: from worm to fish to reptile to mammal to monkey to man. Why should the story end here? Might we not become superman, or something beyond even that?

If so, there is a sacred duty to preserve humanity. We must find another world and send at least a few men and women there to continue the species. The rest of us must accept death, but the adventure would continue.

Gradually, I think, this view would spread. A great project would emerge.

How to Set About the Task
How set about the task?
1 study the planets, with telescopes etc
2 invent "ether ships" to take us away
3 explore the possible planets, & choose which
4 prepare mankind for its new home.
& prepare it
How to Set About the Task

How would we set about such a task? Four steps:

First, intensive study of the planets with telescopes and whatever other instruments we could devise. Second, invention of "ether ships"—vessels capable of carrying humans through space. Third, exploration of the possible destination planets to choose the best. Fourth, preparation—of both the new world for humanity, and humanity for its new world.

Travelling in Space
Travelling in space
not impossible, if we really wanted to
"rocket to the moon" principle. huge ship
by explosive mixture. or subatomic?
on subatomic energy
no need of push beyond the air
except for steering and stopping
danger of meteors, & incandescence
problem of aircompressed oxygen liquid
" " food — not serious
" " water
the voyage would be for months or years
heating & cooling machinery
Travelling in Space

Is space travel impossible? Not if we really wanted it. The rocket principle would serve—"rocket to the moon," as they say. We would need a huge ship, powered perhaps by explosive mixtures or, more likely, by subatomic energy.

Once beyond Earth's atmosphere, no further push is needed except for steering and stopping. The ship would coast through the void. But there would be dangers: meteors might puncture the hull, and the ship might become incandescent when approaching the Sun.

The problems of air, food, and water are not insurmountable: compressed or liquid oxygen, recycled water, stored and grown food. The voyage would take months or years. Elaborate heating and cooling systems would be required—warmth when far from the Sun, cooling when near it. All difficult—but not impossible.

Experiments and Tragic Failures
many experiments
& tragic failures: ship might break
loss of air
collision
fail to return
cold
heat
steering failure
Experiments and Tragic Failures

Before we succeeded, there would be many experiments—and tragic failures. Ships might break apart under the stresses of launch. They might lose their air through tiny punctures. They might collide with debris, or fail to return. Crews might freeze in the outer darkness or cook in solar proximity. Steering might fail, sending ships hurtling into the void forever.

Each failure would teach us something. Each lost crew would be martyrs to the cause of human survival. Eventually, we would learn.

The First Ether Voyage
The first ether voyage
start with a bump?
contracting horizon — aeroplane view
circular earth, or gibbous, or crescent
sky darkens — less air
stars and sun
earth shrinks
gravity weakens
artificial gravity — magnetic boots
approach to moon (trial trip only)
circumnavigate it?
or land, but not go out, ∴ no air
The First Ether Voyage

Imagine that first successful voyage! The start with a tremendous bump as the rockets ignite. The horizon contracts—an aeroplane view, then something no aeroplane passenger has ever seen. The Earth becomes circular, then gibbous like the Moon, then a crescent as we pass it.

The sky darkens—less and less air to scatter the light. Stars appear even when the Sun is visible. The Earth shrinks behind us. Gravity weakens until we float freely in the cabin, perhaps wearing magnetic boots for artificial gravity.

The first trip might only approach the Moon—circumnavigate it, perhaps, or even land. But we could not go outside: no air. The Moon would be a trial run for longer voyages.

The Moon
Moon useless, save for metals & minerals
no air to breathe, no water
all rock, mountains
Loss of air explained
molecules jumping about very fast
outside layer too jumpy for gravity
cp soda water fizz
earth strong enough to keep air
but no small world possible
could we give Moon an atmosphere?
tranship air from earth?
seems hopeless.
if we could, it would trickle away
in a few thousand years.
The Moon

The Moon is useless as a home, save perhaps for mining metals and minerals. It has no air to breathe, no water—only rock and mountains and crater walls.

Why no air? Because air molecules are always jumping about very fast. On a small world like the Moon, the outside layer of molecules jumps too fast for gravity to hold them. They escape into space—like the fizz escaping from soda water. Earth is massive enough to hold its air, but no small world can.

Could we give the Moon an atmosphere? Tranship air from Earth? It seems hopeless. And even if we could, it would trickle away in a few thousand years. The Moon offers no permanent home.

Mercury
Mercury useless
too small to have an atmosphere
keeps one face to sun (cp moon)
on hot side — lead would melt
" " cold " — extreme frost.
on limb?
ether ships would melt en route
perhaps refrigerate them for exploration
Mercury

Mercury is useless. It is too small to hold an atmosphere. Like our Moon, it keeps one face always toward the Sun. On the hot side, lead would melt—temperatures hot enough to destroy any imaginable structure. On the cold side, extreme frost.

Perhaps on the "limb"—the twilight zone between day and night—conditions might be tolerable? But it would be a very narrow strip of habitability.

Worse: ether ships approaching Mercury would melt en route! We might refrigerate them for exploration, but Mercury offers no promise as a home.

Venus
Venus roughly as big as earth
atmosphere, dense cloud
but no oxygen to breathe (free oxygen)
∴ Venus at present useless
ether ship's hot voyage,
sink through cloud
what surface? — Sea? Islands?
Why no oxygen on Venus?
oxygen easily combines, too friendly
∴ don't expect oxygen
Then Why oxygen on earth
plants keep pouring it into air
faster than it can combine
or than animals breathe it
no plants on Venus, & no animals
a dead world
possibly some other sort of life
without oxygen
Venus

Venus is roughly as large as Earth—promising! It has a dense atmosphere shrouded in cloud. But there is no free oxygen to breathe, so at present Venus is useless to us.

An ether ship would have a hot voyage approaching Venus. It would sink through the cloud layer. What surface lies beneath? Sea? Islands? We do not know.

Why no oxygen on Venus? Because oxygen is "too friendly"—it easily combines with other elements. Without something constantly producing it, you would not expect to find free oxygen anywhere.

Then why is there oxygen on Earth? Because plants keep pouring it into the air—faster than it can combine with other elements, faster than animals breathe it. Therefore: no plants on Venus, and no animals. A dead world—or possibly some other sort of life that does not depend on oxygen.

Preparing Venus
Preparing Venus
1. exploration for settlement
2 electrolysis stations
3 plants from earth (specially bred)
4. acclimatizing men to heat, etc
5 colonization
most men would be left behind to die
Men would have to produce oxygen on Venus
either by splitting H2O (electrolysis)
or by introducing plants
or both
food problem
no food there
wait for terrestrial vegetation (not enough time?)
wealth of sunlight above clouds
synthetic food.
Preparing Venus

But Venus might be prepared! The process would take generations:

First, exploration to find suitable sites for settlement. Second, the building of electrolysis stations to split water and release oxygen into the atmosphere. Third, introducing plants from Earth—specially bred to survive Venusian conditions—which would continue producing oxygen. Fourth, gradually acclimatizing human beings to the heat and other conditions. Fifth, colonization—though most of humanity would have to be left behind to die.

The food problem would be severe: no native food, and terrestrial vegetation would take too long to establish. But there is a wealth of sunlight above the clouds—perhaps we could manufacture synthetic food directly from solar energy.

The Venusian Future
if the surface is all ocean?
islands?
storms? ∴ near sun
bright white sky
native life?
generations born on Venus
Future class war? national war?
or a new start?
wealthy world
The Venusian Future

What would Venusian settlers find? Perhaps the surface is all ocean—or scattered islands. There would certainly be storms, violent ones, given Venus's proximity to the Sun. A bright white sky, eternally overcast.

And might there be native life? Life of some unfamiliar kind that does not need oxygen? If so, what would be our relationship to it?

Generations would be born on Venus who had never known Earth. What kind of society would they create? Would they repeat our mistakes—class war, national war? Or might they make a new start, a genuinely new civilization? Venus might become a wealthy world, rich in solar energy.

Mars
Mars, much smaller than earth
has atmosphere, but not much
less than on top of Everest
has oxygen, but only 15% of ours
has water vapour, but very little
far from sun, & very cold
on equator at noon — "cold bright day"
winter — colder than arctic
We could not live there (in open)
but might acclimatize babies?
policy: set up ether-ship-station (anchorage)
gradually produce a population
Mars

Mars is much smaller than Earth. It has an atmosphere, but not much—less than at the top of Everest. There is oxygen, but only about 15% of what we have on Earth. Water vapor exists, but very little.

Mars is far from the Sun and very cold. On the equator at noon, it would be like a "cold bright day" in our winter. In Martian winter, colder than our Arctic.

We could not live there in the open—we would suffocate and freeze. But might we acclimatize babies born there, each generation adapting a bit more? The policy might be: establish an ether-ship station as an anchorage, then gradually produce a native population over many generations.

What Explorers Would Find
What would the explorers find?
mostly desert — reddish sand or rock
probably large districts of "vegetation"
greenish in spring
brown in winter
feathers?
polar caps, seasonal, & patches
south cap vanishes in summer
CO2?
vegetation exists
What Explorers Would Find

What would explorers find on Mars? Mostly desert—reddish sand or rock, the rusty color we see through telescopes. But probably also large districts of vegetation: greenish in Martian spring, brown in winter. What kind of vegetation? Perhaps something feathery, adapted to the thin air?

There are polar caps that grow and shrink with the seasons—the south cap vanishes entirely in summer. Are they water ice or frozen carbon dioxide? The very existence of vegetation proves there is some oxygen being produced—confirming that plant life exists on Mars.

The Canals of Mars
"canals of Mars" — straightish lines
from green parts
Lowell says: made by intelligent beings?
to irrigate desert
but all very doubtful
explorers might be resisted — war!
no idea what Martians would be like
very different from us. Wells. WoS
men might be destroyed
The Canals of Mars

What of the famous "canals" of Mars—those straightish lines that seem to connect the green regions? The astronomer Lowell claimed they were built by intelligent beings to irrigate the desert. But this is all very doubtful—the lines may be optical illusions or natural features.

Still, if there are intelligent Martians, our explorers might be resisted. War! We have no idea what Martians would be like—very different from us, certainly. Think of H.G. Wells's terrifying Martians in The War of the Worlds. Our explorers might be destroyed.

Problems on Mars
Even apart from resistance —
many problems:
food in new world
eat the Martian vegetables?
might poison us
cultivate earth's vegetables?
difficult to do so
coal & oil? burn Martian vegetables
no water power, wind power
no seas to navigate
poverty-stricken world
could Mars support much life?
water shortage
air shortage
biochemical shortage
light shortage
Problems on Mars

Even apart from possible resistance, settlers would face many problems:

Food: Could we eat Martian vegetables? They might poison us—their biochemistry would be quite different from Earth's. Cultivating Earth vegetables would be difficult in the thin air and weak sunlight.

Energy: No coal or oil—those are products of Earth's ancient forests. We might burn Martian vegetation, but there would be no water power (no rivers to speak of) and little wind power in the thin atmosphere.

Transportation: No seas to navigate, so no ships.

Mars would be a poverty-stricken world. Could it even support much life? Water shortage, air shortage, biochemical difficulties, and above all light shortage—so far from the Sun.

Life on Mars
flying would be difficult in one way —
air too thin to support planes
easy in another —
gravity slight
athletics easy — jump like grasshoppers.
Life on Mars

There would be compensations. Flying would be difficult in one way—the air is too thin to support conventional aircraft—but easy in another, because gravity is slight. Perhaps rocket-powered flight, or gliding on huge wings.

Athletics would be wonderfully easy! With Mars's weak gravity, we could jump like grasshoppers. A running leap might carry you twenty feet into the air. What sports they might invent!

The Outer Planets
Asteroids, too small. might jump off
(10 miles — 500 miles)
no atmosphere
too cold
Jupiter very big, strong gravity
we could hardly stand up
atmosphere, clouds oxygen?
cold sun a mere star.
? natives small, sluggish
Saturn, worse.
ring display moons
Uranus
Neptune — sun looks like a bright arc lamp.
Pluto
The Outer Planets

The asteroids are too small—ranging from ten to five hundred miles across. On some, you might accidentally jump off into space! No atmosphere, too cold.

Jupiter is enormous, with crushing gravity—we could hardly stand up. It has an atmosphere with dense clouds, but whether there is oxygen, we do not know. And it is terribly cold; the Sun appears as a mere bright star. If natives exist, they must be small and sluggish under that terrible gravity.

Saturn is even worse—similar problems plus those magnificent but useless rings. Uranus and Neptune are colder still—from Neptune, the Sun would look like a bright arc lamp rather than the blazing disc we know. And Pluto, at the edge of the solar system, is beyond consideration.

Upshot
Upshot of it all
we might colonize Venus & Mars
but with very different types of beings
anyhow we may explore them some day.
Upshot

What is the upshot of all this? We might colonize Venus and Mars—but the colonists would have to become very different types of beings, adapted over generations to conditions utterly unlike Earth's. They might hardly recognize their Earthly ancestors.

At any rate, we may explore these worlds someday. The great adventure is not impossible.

Life in the Universe
The Old Views
1. life only possible here
2. a teeming universe
planets are rare
(stars: sand on Brit Isles 15 ft deep)
planets: born every 200,000 yrs
a million or so
few suited to life
Life's prerequisites:
temperature
energy flow
diversity of circumstances
Life in the Universe

The old views were extreme: either life is only possible on Earth, or the universe teems with life on every world. The truth is probably between.

Planets are rare. Stars are common—as numerous as sand covering the British Isles fifteen feet deep. But planets form only occasionally, perhaps one born every 200,000 years in our galaxy. There may be a million or so—but few suited to life.

Life's prerequisites: the right temperature range, a flow of energy (from a nearby sun), diversity of circumstances to drive evolution. These conditions are not common.

Stellar Life
stellar life (JBSH)
interior of stars (suns)
a fiery brain?
or salamanders?
Nebulae
Cosmos
Stellar Life

But perhaps we think too narrowly. J.B.S. Haldane has speculated about stellar life—beings living in the interiors of stars, where the temperature is millions of degrees. Could there be a fiery brain at the heart of the Sun? Creatures like the legendary salamanders that live in fire?

And what of the nebulae—those vast clouds of gas between the stars? Might some form of life exist there, spread across light-years?

The cosmos is stranger than we can imagine. We are only beginning to ask the right questions.

The Requirement of Unity
disunited world —
absorbed in war & trade
all resources of world would be needed
must unite
The Requirement of Unity

To return to our scenario: a disunited world, absorbed in war and trade, could never accomplish such a project as interplanetary colonization. All the resources of humanity would be needed. We must unite.

And here is the great irony: the project of saving humanity from cosmic catastrophe might itself be what finally unites humanity. It would give life a new meaning beyond petty rivalries. It would demand the best from everyone. It would create, perhaps for the first time, a civilization actually worthy of survival.

The threat of extinction might be our salvation—not from extinction itself, but from the spiritual poverty that makes our present existence hardly worth saving.