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Possible Futures
Original manuscript — sheet 1
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Transcription
86
1206
F86
Possible Futures
1918 Club
Soroptimists
Headmasters (Settlement)
Medical + Literary Soc
Forum Luncheon Club
4.0 Davies
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Transcription
⊕ bogeys & utopias
Bolshies in London
· Brave New World
Savagery
Next War
Yellow Peril
utopias
Young Soviet League
Ford factory
Garden world
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0
Future of this building
not always a café
sight site cleared for a bigger building
taken over by Americans
used by Russians as a child wellfare centre
"  " Japs or Chinese
destroyed by bombs
allowed to fall to pieces
Future of Liverpool. Crossing θ Mersey
not always to be a great port
someday either – removed
or decay. (river silts like Dee Dee)
dock gates fall to pieces
buildings crumble
Future of England
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⊕ Shocks of ð real past
ditto future.
just around ð corner
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Why bother about foreseeing?
as I sat down — thinking of this moment
"let us eat drink + be merry"
Can't possibly tell what will happen
except — it will be utterly different
then useless to ask?
No, not to consider possibilities
fascinating, educative (emotionally)
+
Degrees of futurity (for my purposes)
"near" — next 100 years Waterloo
middle — 1 — 10,000 yrs before Egypt
far — million yrs + onwards early man
Questions to ask about them
up down(of different orders)
pastnear — England a world power? Russia?
futfamily? education?
middle — coal, oil, subatomic?
huge cultural advance?
far — what will man be like? extinct?
will he be super-man?
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⊕ end of capitalism
incompatibility of
capitalism + nationalism
nationalism victorious
i.e we are still —
more tribal
than self seeking
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Near Future
enumerate ð vital questions
1. will ð world be better or worse?
better = politically unified
socially coherent, happy, rich
culturally more vital
worse = civilization breaking up or:—
successive wars Brave New World
no unity
economic slavery
impoverished
degenerate
⊕or better-worse, in different respects
2. England still a great power
I see no possibility of it
her advantage is over
must lose her trade
but what matter?
think cosmopolitanally
& anyhow England may be ð better for it
cp Scandinavia
a quieter more thoughtful people?
smaller population
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3  USA dominant?  individualism
an Americanised planet
(America in Asia today)
but USA now in θ throes
(a) financially - system collapsing
Balkanisation(b) culturally - insincerity
graft
rackets.
universities
danger of world infection
 
4  Russia: present order will last?
but modified toward capitalism?
or counter revolution?
pop
Culture
Anti Russian war?
Americanisation of Russia?
Russification of θ World?
5- East: Japan expanding
but will become stationary
popalso India
China: vast potentiality
a more sane mentality
possible war of East & West
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6   Internationalism ?
rival empires or world state
X nationalism may collapse
not an instinct
but if culture declines – more nationalism
7   Cultural questions
influence of science – Russell, Huxley
or will science become more humane ?
religion – a new one ?
family, women
free citizens – slaves
free minds
technical
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5-
Middle 1-10 thousand
all present States gone
& present culture
continuous progress?
extinction: atomic explosion
bad eugenics
lack of chemicals
ether. no oil, coal — tides & subatomic
voyaging human nature
fundamentally, same
or improved ??
or degenerate
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Far million, onwards
earth much as now (unless burnt)
but climate fluctuations
continental shifts
Will there be men?
certainly not like us
things move too fast
& ever faster?
or stagnation
new intelligent species
or improved humanity
sensory — eyes
hand (not necessary)
brain — super intellect
″ coordination
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Transcription
decay of stock
X new dominant species
rat
combine w animal
new species
Spengler
Russ + East
Russ - plans p
& far future
New Worlds
Our civiliztn unique
brain fertility
life on planets
increase of pop.
whatever happens
domination of one P?
cosmopolitan
Japs - economic
1000 yrs r b a day
100 yrs dn matter
British future.
finest?
Irish problem
1. Japs t b Sinefied LIVERPOOL UNIVERSITY LIBRARY S.T.P.2. F13/33
2. group consciousness
3. emotional advance
neurotic
give normal environmt
aggressiveness.
National Neurosis