Editorial headnote

Occasion — two witnesses in one folder. This set (Liverpool University Library OS/F4/2, eight sheets) carries two layers eight years apart. Sheet 1, the 1938 opening, names its engagements in Stapledon's own hand: red "Univ. Staff Discussion Club" beside the title, teal "27.10.38", then "W K Toc H Jan 1939" and "Beechcroft 28, Jan" — a talk written after Munich (its own heading is "Britain today (post Munich)") and reused at least twice in the following winter. Sheet 2 is headed "Future of Britain 1946": a fresh opening page written for a post-war reuse, continuing onto sheet 3 ("New Hope for Britain"). Sheets 5–7 resume the 1938 sequence — they carry its page numbers 2–4 and its timing marks ("5 mins" on sheet 1, then "10", "20", "30" down the later margins). Sheets 4 and 8 are versos of heavily abbreviated jottings that cannot be firmly assigned to either layer; the concordance dates their material "1938/1946".

How this edition keeps the layers apart. The faithfulness repairs separated the witnesses, and the prose below preserves that separation: the 1938 argument runs sheet 1, then sheets 5–7; the 1946 argument is sheets 2–3; the versos stand between them as supplementary heads. Nothing from one layer is blended into the other, and each section is labelled with its witness. Cancelled matter is never voiced — including the struck word after "constitutional means" on sheet 6 (itself a disputed reading). The disputed spans — "'ware 'socialism'" (alternatives "war", "name"), the sheet-3 "Western liberal communi—", the sheet-8 "infra C/federalism" (C read as Commonwealth on the model of "N/power", flagged as a reading) — are acknowledged where they occur and never silently expanded.

The argument in brief. The 1938 layer diagnoses eclipse — economic decline, lost social initiative, an undefendable empire, the new vulnerability of England, declining prestige, oligarchy and lassitude — and poses two futures: automatism, ending in imperial war and "Britain a Nazi dependency"; or "Britain Born Again" — a national renaissance propagated by a new patriotism, then policy: overthrow the oligarchy, home defence for invulnerability, abolition of empire, democratic alliance, social reconstruction, and propaganda as the immediate task. The 1946 layer looks back after the war: the record and the prospect — no longer a great power, "between Russia & America" — and a New Hope: what Britain can give the world, Europe as the first concern, and a dialectical synthesis he calls liberal communism, "personality-in-community".

Position in the corpus. With 80143 and the 1944 Sheffield lecture, this set anchors the platform bifurcation finding of the lecture concordance: the public political Stapledon of these years speaks almost entirely inside the humanist frame his 1934 lecture had declared "not enough" (see the deep analysis, §1 and §3.9). The verso's "a suprem deity?" jotted against democracy is the worship-of-the-state problem surfacing in note form — the superhuman at the edges of a secular argument. The two Future of Britain sets share one deck and are indexed together.

What is not known. The year of the Beechcroft engagement (the inscription gives only "28, Jan"); the occasion of the 1946 reuse (no venue or date is inscribed on the 1946 sheets); which layer the two versos served; and how much of the 1938 sequence was re-delivered in 1946.

This Island: Britain's Past and Present Eclipse (1938 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 1
1
11·5The Future of Britain Univ. Staff
Discussion Club
This Island – not British Imperialism 27.10.38
A layman's view – synopsis for discussion W K Toc H Jan 1939
Beechcroft 28, Jan
Britain's past : pioneer of nationalism, democracy, industrialism
commercial imperialism
social betterment F11.5
mother of parliaments
workshop of the world ; usurer of the world
Britain today (post Munich)
economic decline
loss of trade to USA, Germany, Japan
main
interest in
investment
Backward lands industrializ'd – markets lost
failure of adaptability
productive power tends to stagnation
slumps and unemployment
lost lead in social betterment
due to: economic decline, & lassitude (ships)
stamina undermined by long industrialism (Montague)
no serious attempt to tackle health
empire undefendable potential German power
Indian unrest
threat by Germany, Italy, Japan
cost of imperial pride
× decay of the Sahib Egypt, Palestine, India
vulnerability of England
London can be destroyed
danger of air blockade and starvation
decline of prestige abroad – due to post-war diplomacy
Britain does not count
insincere idealism + stupid self seeking
“decadence”
increase of authoritarianism at home
parliament ignored
police aggression + secret Gov interference
Sandys, Vernon
dead hand of oligarchy (not decadence)
∴ bourgeoisie has lost its grip
lassitude widespread
chaos in politics !! of
democracy suspect
craving for leadership
apathy & defeatism
5 mins all the signs of Eclipse
Reconstructed lecture

Sheet 1 is the 1938 witness's opening page: red "Univ. Staff Discussion Club" beside the title, teal "27.10.38", "W K Toc H Jan 1939" and "Beechcroft 28, Jan" in the margins — the talk's dated engagements in Stapledon's hand.

I want to speak of this island — not British Imperialism. And this is a layman's view — a synopsis for discussion.

Britain's past: she was a pioneer of nationalism, democracy, industrialism; of commercial imperialism, but also of social betterment; the mother of parliaments; the workshop of the world — and the usurer of the world.

Britain today (post-Munich). First, economic decline: loss of trade to the USA, Germany, Japan; the backward lands industrialized — markets lost (in the margin, diagonally: our main interest in investment); a failure of adaptability; productive power tends to stagnation; slumps and unemployment.

We have lost our lead in social betterment — due to economic decline, and lassitude (the ships). Stamina is undermined by long industrialism (Montague); no serious attempt to tackle health.

The empire is undefendable — the margin adds: potential German power. Indian unrest; the threat by Germany, Italy, Japan; the cost of imperial pride; the decay of the Sahib — Egypt, Palestine, India.

The vulnerability of England: London can be destroyed; the danger of air blockade and starvation.

The decline of prestige abroad — due to post-war diplomacy. Britain does not count; insincere idealism plus stupid self-seeking; "decadence".

The increase of authoritarianism at home: parliament ignored; police aggression and secret Government interference; Sandys, Vernon.

The dead hand of oligarchy (not decadence): therefore the bourgeoisie has lost its grip. (The mark before this clause is a disputed reading — "∴", with "&" preserved as the alternative.)

Lassitude is widespread: chaos in politics; democracy suspect; craving for leadership; apathy and defeatism — all the signs of Eclipse.

Timing marks pace the 1938 delivery down the margins — "5 mins" (sheet 1), "10 mins" (sheet 5), "20 mins" (sheet 6), "30 mins" (sheet 7); they are recorded here rather than voiced.

The Record, the Prospect and the Choice (1946 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 2
Future of Britain 1946
Our record now: literature — poetry
political institutions
θ English spirit
industry
empire
Battle of Britain
Our past:
island security
prosperity — bourgeoisie
fight for democracy
liberal commercial individualism
Labour Movement
Workshop of θ World
Pax Brittanica
Our prospect:
lost industrial supremacy
lost imperial supremacy
lost naval domination
lost "foreign securities"
lost arrogance
no longer a great power
between Russia & America
overstraining to remain a great power?
dependence on foreign food
tired & aging population
failure of capitalism — slumps
threat of unemployment
need to plan, & nationalize.
at an unfavourable time
financial involvement with USA
The Choice before us
1. try to triumph in power politics,
& with "private enterprise"
2. profound change: of aims
of structure
of politics.
Reconstructed lecture

Sheet 2 is headed "Future of Britain 1946" — the second witness: a fresh opening page written for a post-war reuse of the set. Sheets 2–3 speak from 1946; the 1938 sequence resumes at sheet 5.

Our record now: literature — poetry; political institutions; the English spirit; industry; empire; and the Battle of Britain.

Our past: island security; prosperity — and a bourgeoisie; the fight for democracy; liberal commercial individualism; the Labour Movement; the Workshop of the World; the Pax Britannica.

Our prospect: lost industrial supremacy; lost imperial supremacy; lost naval domination; lost "foreign securities"; lost arrogance. We are no longer a great power — between Russia and America — overstraining to remain a great power?

There is dependence on foreign food; a tired and aging population; the failure of capitalism — slumps, the threat of unemployment; the need to plan, and nationalize — at an unfavourable time; and financial involvement with the USA.

The Choice before us: first, try to triumph in power politics, and with "private enterprise"; or second, profound change: of aims, of structure, of politics.

A New Hope for Britain (1946 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 3
2
New Hope for Britain
what we want
not imperialism
″  economic dominance
but full life for all in our island
full human development
Jerusalem in England's - - - .
what we can give ð world
1, high grade goods
2, an example of social democracy
without blood letting .
3, spirit of mutual forbearance etc
i.e just what ð world needs.
unite ð good of liberalism + of communism
liaison of Russia & America
our first concern is Europe
we must help to revive Europe
economically, culturally
combine European tradition with —
novelties of Russia & America
Federal Europe?
but not against Russia
two foci - Brit & France
but France is sick
ð Northern Democracies
liberal at heart
but forced to socialize
hence liberal communism.
ð Dialectic, social
thesis: liberal commercialist individualism
ant: collectivism; good - Rus
bad - Germ
synthesis: Western liberal communi
personality-in-community
Reconstructed lecture

New Hope for Britain. What we want: not imperialism, not economic dominance, but a full life for all in our island — full human development; Jerusalem in England's green and pleasant land — the note leaves Blake's phrase unfinished: "Jerusalem in England's - - - ."

What we can give the world: first, high-grade goods; second, an example of social democracy without blood-letting; third, the spirit of mutual forbearance, etc. — i.e. just what the world needs. Unite the good of liberalism and of communism — a liaison of Russia and America.

Our first concern is Europe: we must help to revive Europe, economically, culturally; combine the European tradition with — the novelties of Russia and America. A Federal Europe? — but not against Russia. Two foci — Britain and France; but France is sick. And the Northern Democracies: liberal at heart, but forced to socialize — hence liberal communism.

The Dialectic, social. Thesis: liberal commercialist individualism. Antithesis: collectivism — good, Russia; bad, Germany. Synthesis: Western liberal communism — personality-in-community. (The manuscript's last word breaks off as "communi"; "communism" is preserved as the alternative reading.)

Questions of Population, State and Power (verso jottings, layer unassigned)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 4
age balance
/ emigratn
────────
Brit n Germ , ?
Russian pow politics.
Fed wd USA
────────
model state
[illegible] d'clyng pop
θ ð best class.
ed o ð masses
────────
pagan state — Xty
ð Xxs mst c'vert
Bd'm
com, obj o lo'ty.
N ( ð SP
Abyssin
democ? ð ideal of
gvt natrl clas
a suprem deity?
univl suffg?
Ruzn
────────────────
German
empires — d N c'tribut
mst @ ð pek
────────
leisure — →
Reconstructed lecture

This sheet is the verso of sheet 3 — heavily abbreviated jottings ruled off into groups: supplementary heads rather than a running argument. It cannot be firmly assigned to either delivery layer; the concordance dates its material "1938/1946".

The age balance of the population — emigration. Britain and Germany, ? Russian power politics. Federation with the USA.

A model state with a declining population? — the best class; above all, the education of the masses. (A word before "declining pop" is struck and illegible.)

The pagan state — and Christianity. The Christians must convert — Buddhism. (The abbreviated subject "ð Xxs" is a disputed reading; "Xty's" and "Xys" are the recorded alternatives.) A common object of loyalty — Nationalism (the S.P.; Abyssinia). (The abbreviation "S.P." is left unexpanded, as in the notes.)

Democracy? — the ideal of government for a natural class? A supreme deity? — universal suffrage? Russia.

Germany — the problem of empires: empires do not contribute most at the peak. And leisure — the jotting ends with a marginal arrow.

Britain's Assets and the Two Possible Futures (1938 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 5
2
Britain's main assets
machinery, plant, minerals
skill
political and moral tradition
respect for individuality, kindliness
x give & take — compromise
very strong — may make all the difference
but — not indestructible
Britain's Problem Today
radically new circumstances
∴ radically new aims, & habits of thought & feeling
our task: get the policy clear
x propagate the new feeling
a new kind of patriotism
if we fail — disaster
Two possible futures for Britain
1. automatism — business as usual — unimaginative
2. conscious reorientation — Britain Born Again
1. Automatism : orthodox imperialism — tarif walls, & arms
orthodox capitalism
x exploitation of Africa etc & of British Workers
gruelling rearmament
decay of social services
x education for discipline
police rule. end of free thought
imperial war — Germany, Italy, Japan
defeat, ruin
10 minsBritain a Nazi dependency, no freedom
2. “Britain Born Again”
prerequisites for the policy:
pressure of circumstances
eg Munich effects
vigorous propaganda for new patriotism
not merely for a policy
but a national renaissance
& change of social aim
x ð policy presupposes national renaissance
i e popular will for renaissance
Reconstructed lecture

Here the notes return to the 1938 sequence — this sheet is its page 2, resuming from sheet 1; the "10 mins" pacing mark in its margin belongs to that delivery.

Britain's main assets: machinery, plant, minerals; skill; and our political and moral tradition — respect for individuality, kindliness, give and take — compromise. Very strong — it may make all the difference; but — not indestructible.

Britain's problem today: radically new circumstances, therefore radically new aims, and new habits of thought and feeling. Our task: get the policy clear; propagate the new feeling — a new kind of patriotism. If we fail — disaster.

Two possible futures for Britain: first, automatism — business as usual — unimaginative; second, conscious reorientation — "Britain Born Again".

First, Automatism: orthodox imperialism — tariff walls, and arms; orthodox capitalism; exploitation of Africa and the rest, and of British workers; gruelling rearmament; the decay of social services; education for discipline; police rule, the end of free thought; imperial war — Germany, Italy, Japan; defeat, ruin; Britain a Nazi dependency, no freedom.

Second, "Britain Born Again". The prerequisites for the policy: the pressure of circumstances — e.g. Munich effects; vigorous propaganda for a new patriotism — not merely for a policy, but a national renaissance, and a change of social aim. The policy presupposes national renaissance — i.e. a popular will for renaissance.

The New Patriotism and Its Policy (1938 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 6
3
firmness + generosity
freedom + responsibility
in training fr a great task
propaganda
‖ Learn much from ð Nazis
^ but emphasize ð difference ^
stress: freedom of the individual
Democracy:responsibility of the individual
essentials xie a community as against herd behaviour
+ non-essentialsstress equality of opportunity
final sanctionstress English genius for democracy
ð English spirit Up England
Britain’s message to the world
stress: building up a new community
need for new slogans & symbols
avoid old labels — as far as possible
play on patriotic emotions
but revile military glory
social & cultural example
disparage imperialism
expose its danger
expose abuses
wean ð public from traditional patriotism
expose the faults of the present oligarchy
lack of imagination, traditionalism
subservience to finance
20 mins
policy — when the renaissance is widespread
overthrow the oligarchy — it will resist
constitutional means if
but fight if attacked — & defend Parliament
x infect the armed forces
propaganda to German people
private, ostensibly
planes, smuggling, broadcasting
for peace & anti-imperialism
home defence scheme — for invulnerability
shelters, fighting planes, evacuation
dissipate Londn
food stores
reduction of “attack forces” — battleships
prepare for Plan B warfare
abolition of empire
x immediate self-government to India
& other advanced regions
invite trustees for crown colonies
from democratic powers
democratic alliance
defensive only
open to all
Reconstructed lecture

What is wanted: firmness plus generosity; freedom plus responsibility; in training for a great task.

Propaganda. Learn much from the Nazis — but emphasize the difference. Stress: freedom of the individual; and — the diagonal marginal word is Democracy — responsibility of the individual; i.e. a community as against herd behaviour. Stress equality of opportunity (the marginalia set essentials against non-essentials). Stress the English genius for democracy — the English spirit (margin: Up England) — a second diagonal marginal phrase reads final sanction; Britain's message to the world; stress: building up a new community.

We need new slogans and symbols; avoid old labels — as far as possible. Play on patriotic emotions — but revile military glory; offer instead the social and cultural example. Disparage imperialism: expose its danger; expose abuses; wean the public from traditional patriotism. Expose the faults of the present oligarchy: lack of imagination, traditionalism, subservience to finance.

Policy — when the renaissance is widespread. Overthrow the oligarchy — it will resist. Constitutional means; but fight if attacked — and defend Parliament; infect the armed forces. (After "constitutional means" a word is struck — itself a disputed reading, "if", with "of" and "1st" recorded as alternatives; it is not voiced here.)

Propaganda to the German people: private, ostensibly; planes, smuggling, broadcasting; for peace and anti-imperialism.

A home defence scheme — for invulnerability: shelters, fighting planes, evacuation; dissipate London; food stores. A reduction of "attack forces" — battleships; prepare for Plan B warfare.

The abolition of empire: immediate self-government to India and other advanced regions; invite trustees for the crown colonies, from democratic powers. And a democratic alliance: defensive only; open to all.

Defence, Reconstruction and the Immediate Task (1938 witness)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 7
4
✓declaration to the World – strict defence
within frontiers
abandon Empire
world conference – imperial & economic questions
but after self-government to India
social reconstruction
intensive agriculture
× (avoid food duties by building 2 year store)
training schemes
nationalization of land
nationalization of all main productive forces
in some form: ware “socialism”
control of finance
control of the Press and Radio
under semi-independent boards
cp. the Law
cp. New Zealand scheme
education:
now – two kinds of education
(masters and slaves)
then – state schools for all (cp. France)
educate for responsibility
initiative
individuality
30 minscommunity
× Unemployed: Pioneers of Community
the immediate task
1. experts must work out the policy
this is well under way
2 propaganda – much more important
& more difficult
aim – new patriotism
for new internationalism
expect resistance by ð Government
& by ð whole oligarchy
Chamberlain’s control of ð cinemas
needed a huge rank & file effort
ð part of the universities.
Reconstructed lecture

A declaration to the World — strict defence, within frontiers; abandon the Empire. Then a world conference — imperial and economic questions; but after self-government to India.

Social reconstruction. Intensive agriculture (avoid food duties by building a 2-year store); training schemes; nationalization of land. Nationalization of all main productive forces — in some form: 'ware "socialism". ("ware" is a disputed reading; "war" and "name" are the recorded alternatives.) Control of finance. Control of the Press and Radio — under semi-independent boards; compare the Law; compare the New Zealand scheme.

Education: now — two kinds of education (masters and slaves); then — state schools for all (compare France); educate for responsibility, initiative, individuality, community.

The Unemployed: Pioneers of Community.

The immediate task: first, experts must work out the policy — this is well under way; second, propaganda — much more important, and more difficult. The aim — a new patriotism, for a new internationalism. Expect resistance by the Government, and by the whole oligarchy — Chamberlain's control of the cinemas. Needed: a huge rank-and-file effort; the part of the universities.

Supplementary Problems and Material Needs (verso jottings, layer unassigned)

Original notes (ensemble transcription)
SHEET 8
1
idealistssuperiority
Germ N/powerRussia & Germ
N. soci. control tradec' Hitler & Ital
br mpl collapse
Macmurray
assets →
economic origin
internationalism   Japan
infra C/federalism
LIVERPOOL UNIVERSITY LIBRARY · STAP.  F4/2
mob problem
proletar
minimum   food etc.
Young parentsmen - race
equal incomes   no land andfamily needs / clothes
Reconstructed lecture

The final sheet is a verso of jottings (a boxed "1" at its head), heavily abbreviated — supplementary heads rather than a running argument. It carries the circular Liverpool University Library stamp (STAP. F4/2), and cannot be firmly assigned to either delivery layer.

Idealists — margin: superiority. German national power — margin: Russia and Germany. The National Socialist control of trade — compare Hitler and Italy. If the British Empire collapses. Macmurray. Assets → their economic origin. Internationalism — Japan; infra-Commonwealth federalism. ("C/" is expanded to "Commonwealth" on the model of the sheet's "N/power" — flagged as a reading, not a certainty.)

The mob problem: the proletariat; the minimum — food etc.; young parents (margin, diagonally: men — race); equal incomes — no land privately held, and — margin: family needs, clothes.